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Model shows Florida COVID-19 deaths per day peaking earlier

Florida COVID-19 deaths are now projected to peak at 242 a day on April 21 rather than the first week of May, according to estimates by the University of Washington.

Projections of daily deaths in Florida by the University of Washington

That peak is 106 more than the previous forecast of 136 deaths a day in the first week of May, made by the  Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine.

However, the fever chart’s shaded area has a lot of uncertainty, which is reminiscent of how Floridians often get inexact forecasts on where hurricanes will hit. The worst case in the shaded area of the chart shows 1,000 deaths a day, which reinforces the need for social distancing and other preventive measures.

The institute projects that total deaths in Florida will level off near the start of June and lead to a total of 6,770 deaths in the state by August. State figures show 236 deaths so far and 12,925 positive residence.

State figures show a drop in new cases

One potentially positive sign is a drop in new cases reported by the state for the past two days. The state website allows viewing of cases by zip code and by county.

The U.S. Health Weather Map developed by Kinsa indicates South Florida is a national hotspot for influenza diseases, but the trend is decreasing. Kinsa sells internet-connected thermometers that help it aggregate data. The company also has a free app that allows the public to manually enter data from other thermometers.

 

 

 

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Drew Limsky

Drew Limsky

Editor-in-Chief

BIOGRAPHY

Drew Limsky joined Lifestyle Media Group in August 2020 as Editor-in-Chief of South Florida Business & Wealth. His first issue of SFBW, October 2020, heralded a reimagined structure, with new content categories and a slew of fresh visual themes. “As sort of a cross between Forbes and Robb Report, with a dash of GQ and Vogue,” Limsky says, “SFBW reflects South Florida’s increasingly sophisticated and dynamic business and cultural landscape.”

Limsky, an avid traveler, swimmer and film buff who holds a law degree and Ph.D. from New York University, likes to say, “I’m a doctor, but I can’t operate—except on your brand.” He wrote his dissertation on the nonfiction work of Joan Didion. Prior to that, Limsky received his B.A. in English, summa cum laude, from Emory University and earned his M.A. in literature at American University in connection with a Masters Scholar Award fellowship.

Limsky came to SFBW at the apex of a storied career in journalism and publishing that includes six previous lead editorial roles, including for some of the world’s best-known brands. He served as global editor-in-chief of Lexus magazine, founding editor-in-chief of custom lifestyle magazines for Cadillac and Holland America Line, and was the founding editor-in-chief of Modern Luxury Interiors South Florida. He also was the executive editor for B2B magazines for Acura and Honda Financial Services, and he served as travel editor for Conde Nast. Magazines under Limsky’s editorship have garnered more than 75 industry awards.

He has also written for many of the country’s top newspapers and magazines, including The New York Times, Washington Post, Los Angeles Times, Miami Herald, Boston Globe, USA Today, Worth, Robb Report, Afar, Time Out New York, National Geographic Traveler, Men’s Journal, Ritz-Carlton, Elite Traveler, Florida Design, Metropolis and Architectural Digest Mexico. His other clients have included Four Seasons, Acqualina Resort & Residences, Yahoo!, American Airlines, Wynn, Douglas Elliman and Corcoran. As an adjunct assistant professor, Limsky has taught journalism, film and creative writing at the City University of New York, Pace University, American University and other colleges.