7-Point Checklist for Buying Your First Stock - S. Florida Business & Wealth

7-Point Checklist for Buying Your First Stock

Need some help picking your first stock? Follow these seven simple steps.

Buying your first stock can be an overwhelming experience. There are thousands to choose from, and the financial media is saturated with hot stock tips. To help you cut through all that noise, here are seven basic things I always do when I analyze a stock.

1. Buy what you know

One of the simplest rules is to invest in companies you understand. This means that if you don’t really understand how a hot new tech company generates its double-digit revenue growth, you could be left holding the bag when that growth suddenly stops.

Therefore, an easy-to-understand stock which I often recommend is PepsiCo(NYSE:PEP), which owns a portfolio of 22 billion-dollar brands in sodas, teas, sports drinks, juices, and packaged foods that can be easily found in most supermarkets.

2. Understand how the company makes money

The second step is to figure out where the company’s revenue comes from. To do this, you should visit the company’s investor relations website and read its latest quarterly reports.

For example, a look at PepsiCo’s latest report reveals that 34% of its 2016 revenues came from its North American Beverage business, 25% came from Frito-Lay North America, 4% came from Quaker Foods North America, and the rest came from its three overseas regions. We can also see that sales rose at the North American Beverage business, Frito-Lay North America, and Quaker, but declined at all three of its international segments due to macro challenges and currency headwinds.

Glass Pepsi bottles.

IMAGE SOURCE: PIXABAY.

3. Understand how the company measures its growth

After measuring the weight of the company’s business units on its top line, you need to understand how a company measures its revenue growth. Many companies will report a single figure for total sales growth, but an increasing number will report both “official” GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) figures and non-GAAP ones — which exclude “one time” charges like currency headwinds, stock-based compensation, acquisitions, divestments, and legal expenses.

PepsiCo reported that its revenues fell 0.4% in 2016. However, its non-GAAP “organic” revenues rose 4%. Investors should take note of any glaring disparities between those two figures — which may indicate that major ongoing expenses are being dismissed as one-time charges.

The same rule applies to a company’s earnings growth, which is often reported in both GAAP and non-GAAP metrics. For example, PepsiCo’s GAAP earnings per share rose 19% last year. But on a non-GAAP “core” basis, which excluded some one-time gains, earnings rose 9%. Investors should note that Wall Street forecasts generally use non-GAAP estimates.

4. Recognize the competition and risk factors

Investors should then recognize and analyze a company’s direct competitors. PepsiCo’s closest competitor is Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), but a closer look at both companies reveals fundamental differences in their businesses — PepsiCo sells packaged foods, while Coca-Cola only sells beverages.

Investors should also read a company’s quarterly and annual SEC filings and carefully read the “Risk Factors” section — which lists all the potential headwinds which could hurt its business. PepsiCo’s latest 10-K filing reveals that shifts in consumer preferences, regulations on sodas, growing competition in packaged foods, unfavorable economic conditions overseas, higher material costs, and recalls could all throttle its growth.

5. Understand how the company spends its free cash flow

A company’s free cash flow, defined as its operating cash flow minus capital expenditures, can be used for a wide variety of purposes. Rapidly growing companies generally invest that cash into expanding their operations. Mature companies usually return that cash to shareholders with buybacks and dividends.

Buybacks reduce the number of outstanding shares, which reduces dilution and tightens up valuations. Consistent dividend growth can attract more long-term income investors. From the following chart, we can see that PepsiCo spent 98% of its FCF on dividends and buybacks — which makes it a very shareholder-friendly company.

PEP Free Cash Flow (TTM) Chart

IMAGE SOURCE: YCHARTS.

6. See if the stock is cheap relative to the market and its peers

The key metric for investors to watch is a stock’s P/E ratio — which is simply the stock price divided by the company’s earnings per share (EPS) over the previous four quarters.

With high-growth companies, the stock’s P/E should generally be equal to or lower than its earnings growth rate. With mature companies, the P/E should remain equal or lower than the S&P 500 and its industry average to be considered “cheap.” PepsiCo’s numbers indicate that the stock isn’t terribly cheap relative to its industry or the overall market, so its upside potential could be limited at current prices:

 Company P/E ratio Industry Average P/E S&P 500’s P/E
PepsiCo 25 24 25

DATA SOURCE: YAHOO! FINANCE.

7. Don’t put all your eggs in one basket

If you only have $5,000 to invest, don’t simply spend it all on a single stock, which places all your eggs in one basket. Instead, put $1,000 in five different stocks, preferably in different industries, to reduce your overall risk.

Lastly, don’t buy your entire position in a single stock all at once. Instead, gradually build a position over a period of several months or years to balance out your average purchase price. That strategy of “dollar-cost averaging” greatly reduces the risk of your first purchase.

Forget PepsiCo: “Total conviction” buy signal issued
The Motley Fool’s co-founders, David and Tom Gardner, rarely agree on a stock. But when they do, their picks have beaten the market by 6X on average.*

That’s why many investors consider their joint stamp of approval to be a “total conviction” signal to buy. The Motley Fool recently announced a new “total conviction” stock…and it wasn’t PepsiCo!

Click here to learn more about the stock.

*Returns as of March 13th, 2017.

Leo Sun has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends PepsiCo. The Motley Fool recommends Coca-Cola. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

 

You May Also Like
HR Roundtable – Continuing the Conversation with StevenDouglas and SFBW

Recently, HR professionals throughout South Florida gathered at the Sunrise, Florida headquarters of StevenDouglas to discuss one of the most-discussed issues facing the corporate world: How is AI transforming the

Read More
A group of 19 professionally dressed people pose together in an office lobby; some are seated on a round white couch, others stand behind, with a Severna Douglas SFW banner in the background. South Florida Business & Wealth
South Florida Behavioral Health Conference Returns; Announces Honorees

Behavioral health professionals, advocates, educators, clinicians, and community leaders from across Florida will gather in Hollywood later this month for the 11th Annual South Florida Behavioral Health Conference: The Power

Read More
Four keynote speakers are featured in colored circles with their names, titles, and credentials beneath each photo. The text above reads "Conference Keynote Speakers" in large yellow letters on a white background. South Florida Business & Wealth
Building Through the Bottleneck 

 Demand remains strong across South Florida, but rising costs, stalled deals, and execution challenges are reshaping how projects move from concept to completion  South Florida’s construction market is not slowing down. It

Read More
A mature man with gray hair and glasses, wearing a gray suit and white shirt, stands indoors and buttons his jacket. There is a brick wall with framed art and a beige couch in the background. South Florida Business & Wealth
A Study in Light: Brandon Amira Redefines Light in Modern Design

In an era where lighting is often treated as an accessory, Brandon Amira approaches it as architecture. Miami-based kinetic artist and designer Brandon Amira continues to expand his exploration of

Read More
Other Posts
The C-Suite Life

Wax. Wellness. Worthwyld. For David Coba, the through line is experience.

Read More
This Week’s Biggest Real Estate Deals in South Florida

From Brickell to Boca Raton and down to the Keys, the latest wave of high-value transactions shows that South Florida’s property market is still sizzling.

Read More
Q&A with FPL’s CEO

Why the New Rate Agreement Matters for Florida Business.

Read More
Feeding Hope

United Way Broward and The Jim Moran Foundation Join Forces to Fight Hunger

Read More